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Trading Ideas For Next Week [Week 2] (Part 1)
Due to popular demand I've decided to bring this series back for a week 2 and I'll continue to release 3-5 trading ideas every Saturday. How do you guys feel about the name of this series? Would you like me to change the name to something like "Setup Saturdays" or are you guys cool with the current naming scheme? So this week I wanted to be a lot more in depth in my analysis and setups since I didn't think I was super clear last week with my reasoning on some the setups. I want these posts to be as beginner friendly as possible because there's a lot more beginners in this Subreddit than I had realized. I want you to use this as an educational tool and not as a signal service as a result I'm going to give you possible trade setups and I want you to be the judge of whether you should enter once/if price gets to that point since I feel like that will benefit beginners in the long run. I got a couple questions about top down time frame analysis so that'll be a focus of today's post. Scroll down to NZDJPY if you really want an in-depth look at how I perform top down time frame analysis. I'll include a picture of a chart and my TradingView chart so if you want to zoom in and out of the chart you'll have that ability to do so. Quick Disclaimer: Some of the charts pricing might be off by a bit since I started working on this during the New York session on Friday. If any of the charts are impacted in a way that alters the setup I'll be sure to update the charts before I post this on Saturday. Just gotta hope that hope that Powell doesn't break the market or else I might have to redo this entire post. AUDUSD: AUDUSD Daily TradingView Link For Daily: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/Wb5K2bS8-AUDUSD-Daily-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Which way is the trend pointing? It looks like it's pointing up which we can see with the green trend line but how about we zoom in to the 4 hour char to see if that's actually the case. Tip: When drawing a trend line, especially on the daily and higher time frames, remember to hit as many wicks as possible since they are relevant and not just some anomaly you can ignore. AUDUSD 4 Hour TradingView Link For 4 Hour: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/aah8294z-AUDUSD-4-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: When we got close to where we are with price and we draw a Fibonacci Retracement from the point where price took off to the point where price peaked we can see that price came down to .5 Fibonacci level where it then started going up again. Coincidence? Possibly. As a result I believe that price could continue higher and it would be justified if it did. However, if we look at the trend lines we can see that price appears to have broke put of of our major trend line (Green) which means that price could fall to the downside if it's actually a breakout. Price then appears like it would then adhere to the new minor trend line (Red). There's also the possibility that this was just a fake breakout and price could go up and adhere to green trend line. I'm going to have a selling bias on this trade since price looks like it double topped at the highs of this year and it looks like we could see price fall. I'm leaning towards the drop of price due to the symmetrical triangle pattern created by the major and minor trend line and looks like price is going to get pushed down which we should get an idea of soon. Tip: Every time price makes a large move and falls/rises after making a peak/valley always pull out the Fibonacci retracement tool to see if price will bounce from the .382, .5, or .618 levels as they are the most significant levels. This can tell you if you're going to likely get a trend continuation. AUDUSD 1 Hour TradingView Link For 1 Hour: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/IHgrnfYs-AUDUSD-1-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: I drew out multiple different scenarios which I think can play out since like I said before we're not trying to predict a single movement but we're preparing to be reactive to an ideal condition which may be thrown at us. Remember that major trend line we drew in on the daily chart well it's going to play a large role here. This trend line has been in the making since March so we're not just going to brush it off. The trend line appears to have been broken and we seem to be sticking that minor trend line after the break of the symmetrical triangle pattern. After the break of the symmetrical triangle pattern price usually gets pushed heavily to one side and it looks like price is wanting to get pushed to the downside. As a result, I'm going to really keep on eyes on scenario the blue arrows display since I think it's the most probable. Looking at the scenario there are going to be two potentially good entry points for a sell. The first being when price goes up to retest the green trend line which would also serve as a bounce from our red trend line. Once we get that bounce we could enter in for a sell with a take profit hopefully somewhere around the .66 area. Another good entry would be when price breaks the zone of support of .68 and after it retests it. Wait for a confirmation candlestick pattern showing price will fall when retesting (i.e. railroad track, bullish engulfment candle, evening star, shooting star, etc.). Look for these candlestick patterns on the 15 minute chart. Once you got the confirmation take the sell and ride price down to the .66 zone. The other scenario that could occur is we could see price go back into the green trend line by breaking the red trend line (Orange Arrows). If this occurs we want to catch the retest bounce of the red trend line and ride price up to the high of the year which is at .702. At that point price could break the resistance at which point we could catch the retest of the zone and ride price up. Or it could go up to .702 create a triple top and fall. If you get a candlestick confirmation saying it'll fall then take a sell at the high of the year. NZDUSD: If there's something I really like in Forex it's definitely got to be harmonic patterns due to their high accuracy. NZDUSD just recently completed one of them and this is a really good indicator of what price is going to do. NZDUSD Daily TradingView Chart For Daily: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDUSD/zQpHzUcK-NZDUSD-Daily-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Yes, we have trend line that says that price is going up however I make exceptions for Harmonic patterns since they are accurate about 80%-90% of the time. The pattern you see above is know as a Bearish Bat Pattern. Like the name says it's an indicator that price is going to go Bearish so although the trend line is going up I'm going to have a bearish bias on this trade. NZDUSD 4 Hour TradingView Chart For 4 Hour: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDUSD/C29kpCyO-NZDUSD-4-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Not really much to add here just tossed on a Fibonacci retracement tool from where price took off to the peak just to check for any potential support from any of the major levels which we don't appear to have. We'll go a lot more in-depth on this pair on the 1 hour chart since that's where things get interesting. NZDUSD 1 Hour TradingView Link For 1 Hour: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDUSD/dKJatcM7-NZDUSD-1-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Looking at price we can see that since June 11th price has been trading in a boxed consolidation range. Again I drew out the possibilities I believe could be ideal for us. Remember that I said Harmonics work 80%-90%. Well that means that they fail 10%-20% of the time which is definitely not something we can neglect. We can see that there's a descending triangle which price is reaching the end of. This means that price is getting ready to move to one direction since big moves always come after consolidation. If it moves to upside wait for price to close above the the spot marked D then you can enter for a buy and ride price up to the .67525 zone where price could break to upside or bounce back down (Orange Arrow). Remember to wait for it to actually close above point D since it could create a triple top and drive price back down. It's the same procedure as AUDUSD here if it makes this move where if it breaks it then catch the retest and if it looks like it's wanting to fall down wait for a confirmation pattern. If it breaks the box to the downside and breaks the support zone then take a sell and ride price down to the trend line at which point you should close the trade as there's a chance price could move against you and it's best to secure profits while you can. Once at the trend line it could bounce and if it does you should be able to ride price up to that .67525 zone (Green Arrow). If price breaks the trend line then wait for the retest and you should be able to ride price down pretty far (Red Arrows). I think you should be able to ride it down to .5918 zone but you'll have to keep your on it. EURNZD: EURNZD Daily TradingView Link For Daily:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/jzgmGcRe-EURNZD-Daily-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Well we got a pretty clear descending channel and price looks like it's at the top part of the channel currently so we're going to want to look for some optimal selling conditions due to the down trend. EURNZD 4 Hour TradingView Link For 4 Hour:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/YzOpvcH7-EURNZD-4-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Looking at the 4 hour chart we can see that there appears to be a symmetrical triangle coming to it's end meaning price is getting ready to get pushed to a side. I believe it'll break the triangle and fall to the downside so once you see it break it would be a good idea to take a sell and ride price down to that support zone at 1.7187. Price could also briefly break to the upside then bounce off the top of the channel and it does take a trade from the bounce and ride price down to the same support zone. At that point, I'll leave it up to you to determine how you think price will go and what you should be looking for. Consider it to be a little quiz if you want to think of it like that. You've got my charts so use them as a reference since I've already marked some crucial support/resistance zones which we should keep our on for the next couple weeks. EURNZD 1 Hour TradingView Link For 1 Hour:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/ICWvgEsg-EURNZD-1-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: There's nothing that special on the one hour chart that I have to point out since I think we pretty much got all the big stuff out of the way on our analysis of the 4 hour chart. Be sure to get a good sell in there since there are two potentially good setups which I've outlined for you. Also be sure to be careful and wait for the bounce of the channel if price goes that way since there's a chance price could break the channel and I don't want you to take a loss because you were impatient. NZDJPY: This pair is going to be really fun since we're going to be looking through a lot of time frames so if you really want to learn about a top down approach to analyzing time frames and trends then pay very close attention to how I break down this trade. NZDJPY Monthly TradingView Link For Monthly:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/jZh4F2Jv-NZDJPY-Monthly-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Yes, we're actually going to be looking at the monthly chart. I bet you guys don't do that very often. Looking at it we can see that price has been following a clear down trend line since late 2014. If you look at the wick of this month's candle you can see that it appears to have touched the trend line meaning we could see a good opportunity to catch a sell since it had just recently bounced off. Let's take a look at lower time frames to see if this continues to be true. NZDJPY Weekly TradingView Link For Weekly:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/dpvI29BB-NZDJPY-Weekly-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: When zooming into the weekly we can see that using the wicks of the candles we can actually draw a channel for the low portion that runs pretty much in parallel to the trend line we drew on the monthly chart. We can see that price clearly bounced from the trend line and I think this gives us good reason to believe in the coming weeks we could see the price drop. Also looking at the Bollinger Bands we can see that price also bounced from the top band which also supports a drop of price. Let's go into the daily to see if we can get a better idea. NZDJPY Daily TradingView Link For Daily:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/NbWLURkU-NZDJPY-Daily-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Looking at the daily time frame we can see that price is currently consolidated and remember big moves always come after consolidation. If you look closely however you can see that price looks like it's about to break the 200 day EMA (Orange line). If it breaks the EMA we could see price drop pretty far at an accelerated rate. Besides those couple observations there's not much else going on with the daily chart. NZDJPY 4 Hour TradingView Link For 4 Hour:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/d1kaogH5-NZDJPY-4-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Would you look at that, it looks like we got a descending triangle on the 4 hour chart which looks like it's coming to an end. Looking at price it looks like it's wanting to push to the downside. Once you get a break below the lows of the day of June 11th I think it would be a safe bet to take a sell trade and ride it down for 66.825 for this week. If it breaks the 66.825 support zone then I'll definitely take a sell and try to ride price down to the bottom of the channel which we drew on the weekly chart. There's also the possibility that price could take support at any of these support zones and then head back up to test the top of the channel. At which point I'll be looking to get into a sell at the top of the channel but I won't ride price up to the channel since at this current point in time I feel like there's a large amount of risk in that. NZDJPY 1 Hour TradingView Link For 1 Hour:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/83b47mFS-NZDJPY-1-Hour-For-Reddit-Post-6-20-U-AD3133/ Analysis: Not much more to add here since I think by this point we got the entire story so I'm not going to say much more about the 1 hour chart since I think the analysis for the 4 hour chart also sums this up pretty well. Well that was a lot of information to go through and I hope you found some value in this since it took me quite a few hours to put this together for you guys. Truth be told, I spent most of Friday working on this so I hope at least one person finds some value in which case I'll consider it a win. So you guys tired of me yet or do you want me to continue this series for a week 3? It takes a lot of time and effort to put this together so I'll only do it if people want it or else I'll pretty much feel like I wasted my time. I might put together a little lesson on how to use the COT in order to catch some big reversal moves in the market since the COT pretty much tells you what the hedge funds are doing and you also want to trade with the hedge funds and institutions. It'll probably take a couple weeks since I'll have to compile some data together and wait for a setup before putting that out but I'll be working on it. Are there any other things you may want explained? Let me know and I'll try to find setups which contain the topic you may want more details on. I hope you have a great trading week!
An open letter to my nDad, hours before I leave his house
Dear NDad, I am leaving the house today for a minimum of 16 months and a maximum of the rest of my life. You know as well as I do, that I will not return if I ever got a chance to stay away. You know as well as I do, that you're the reason why. Although you spent the whole of my life trying to mentally break me into being nothing but your puppet, the last 8 months you've surpassed all your previous attempts and gone out of your way to make my life miserable. You tried to turn my favorite maternal aunts against me. You turned my maternal grandmother against me. You caused a rift in the family to make them take your side. You knew you were wrong and you refused to admit it. You tried to manipulate me by throwing money in an account in my name, that I had no access to just so you could tell everyone what an ungrateful bitch I have been. 1 month ago you did everything in your power to prevent me from getting a loan in time for my course. You tried to sabotage my visa process, every single step of the way. Despite you pulling me down, I've risen to the top and will continue to rise until you can't see me anymore. Ten days ago, you know I broke down as I watched my maternal grandfather cough up foam and take his last breath. You know how traumatized I was, but continued to act like a 5 year old throwing a tantrum and giving the silent treatment. You knew Mom needed me and that i'd spend the night curled upto her. You purposely fell sick two days before I'm due to leave so I would fall sick too. I caught your cold, but that's not stopping me. You did your best to sabotage my leaving, by not giving me the password to the forex card account. You didn't tell me when the bank called YOU to ask for MY signature until this morning. I am leaving this afternoon for the airport and out of your life. I just want to say, dad, every single thing you've done to make my departure difficult has made it easier for me to leave. Where once I may not have had affection, I did respect you, I don't have either anymore. I wish you would find happiness somehow and stop ruining GC brother's life after I'm gone. Thanks, Your Tired AF daughter.
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The forex showcase is comprised of monetary forms from everywhere throughout the world, which can make conversion standard forecasts troublesome as there are numerous elements that could add to value developments. Notwithstanding, as most money related markets, forex is principally determined by the powers of the organic market, and it is critical to increasing a comprehension of the impacts that drives cost variances here. Forex Showcase National Banks Supply is constrained by national banks, who can declare measures that will significantly affect their cash's cost. Quantitative facilitating, for example, includes infusing more cash into an economy and can make its money's value drop. News Reports Business banks and different financial specialists will in general need to place their capital into economies that have a solid viewpoint. In this way, if a positive bit of news hits the business sectors about a specific area, it will empower speculation and increment interest for that district's cash. Except if there is a parallel increment in supply for the money, the dissimilarity among the organic market will make its cost increment. So also, a bit of negative news can make venture diminishing and bring down a money's cost. This is the reason monetary standards will in general mirror the detailed financial wellbeing of the locale they speak to. Market Assessment Market assessment, which is frequently in response to the news, can likewise assume a significant job in driving money costs. On the off chance that brokers accept that cash is going a specific way, they will exchange likewise and may persuade others to stick to this same pattern, expanding or diminishing interest. Monetary Information Monetary information is necessary to the value developments of monetary standards for two reasons – it gives a sign of how an economy is performing, and it offers knowledge into what its national bank may do straightaway. State, for instance, that swelling in the eurozone has transcended the 2% level that the European Central Bank (ECB) expects to keep up. The ECB's primary arrangement apparatus to battle rising swelling is expanding European loan costs – so merchants may begin purchasing the euro fully expecting rates going up. With more brokers needing euros, EUUSD could see an ascent in cost. FICO Scores Financial specialists will attempt to expand the arrival they can get from a market while limiting their hazard. So close by loan fees and monetary information, they may likewise take a gander at FICO scores when choosing where to contribute. A nation's FICO score is a free appraisal of its probability of reimbursing its obligations. A nation with a high FICO score is viewed as a more secure zone for venture than one with a low FICO score. This frequently comes into the specific center when FICO scores are overhauled and minimized. A nation with a redesigned FICO score can see its cash increment in cost and the other way around. Official site https://angelium.net Angelium wallet https://wallet.angelium.net Facebook https://www.facebook.com/angelium.official/ Twitter https://twitter.com/AngeliumANL Telegram (English) https://github.com/angelium Telegram (Chinese) https://t.me/AngeliumChinese Telegram (Japanese) https://t.me/angelium_jp Official Video https://youtu.be/h61qO3ihoHA Youtube channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYhiGcIxJARA6u309Qt1lbA
Apache Tomcat is a web server and servlet container that is used to serve Java applications. Tomcat is an open source implementation of the Java Servlet and JavaServer Pages technologies, released by the Apache Software Foundation. This tutorial covers the basic installation and some configuration of the latest release of Tomcat 8 on your CentOS 7 server.
Before you begin with this guide, you should have a separate, non-root user account set up on your server. You can learn how to do this by completing steps 1-3 in the initial server setup for CentOS 7. We will be using Data Center in Romania created here for the rest of this tutorial.
Tomcat requires that Java is installed on the server, so any Java web application code can be executed. Let’s satisfy that requirement by installing OpenJDK 7 with yum. To install OpenJDK 7 JDK using yum, run this command:
sudo yum install java-1.7.0-openjdk-devel
Answer y at the prompt to continue installing OpenJDK 7. Note that a shortcut to the JAVA_HOME directory, which we will need to configure Tomcat later, can be found at /uslib/jvm/jre . Now that Java is installed, let’s create a tomcat user, which will be used to run the Tomcat service.
Create Tomcat User
For security purposes, Forex VPS in Romania should be run as an unprivileged user (i.e. not root). We will create a new user and group that will run the Tomcat service. First, create a new tomcat group:
sudo groupadd tomcat
Then create a new tomcat user. We’ll make this user a member of the tomcat group, with a home directory of /opt/tomcat (where we will install Tomcat), and with a shell of /bin/false (so nobody can log into the account):
Now that our tomcat user is set up, let’s download and install Tomcat.
The easiest way to install Tomcat 8 at this time is to download the latest binary release then configure Windows remote desktop.
Download Tomcat Binary
Find the latest version of Tomcat 8 at the Tomcat 8 Downloads page. At the time of writing, the latest version is 8.5.37. Under the Binary Distributions section, then under the Core list, copy the link to the “tar.gz”. Let’s download the latest binary distribution to our home directory using wget . First, install wget using the yum package manager:
sudo yum install wget
Then, change to your home directory:
Now, use wget and paste in the link to download the Tomcat 8 archive, like this (your mirror link will probably differ from the example):
Tomcat is not completely set up yet, but you can access the default splash page by going to your domain or IP address followed by :8080 in a web browser:
Open in web browser:http://server_IP_address:8080
You will see the default Tomcat splash page, in addition to other information. Now we will go deeper into the installation of Tomcat.
Configure Tomcat Web Management Interface
In order to use the manager webapp that comes with Tomcat, we must add a login to our Tomcat server. We will do this by editing the tomcat-users.xml file:
sudo vi /opt/tomcat/conf/tomcat-users.xml
This file is filled with comments which describe how to configure the file. You may want to delete all the comments between the following two lines, or you may leave them if you want to reference the examples: tomcat-users.xml excerpt
You will want to add a user who can access the manager-gui and admin-gui (webapps that come with Tomcat). You can do so by defining a user similar to the example below. Be sure to change the username and password to something secure: tomcat-users.xml — Admin User
Save and quit the tomcat-users.xml file. By default, newer versions of Tomcat restrict access to the Manager and Host Manager apps to connections coming from the server itself. Since we are installing on a remote machine, you will probably want to remove or alter this restriction. To change the IP address restrictions on these, open the appropriate context.xml files. For the Manager app, type:
sudo vi /opt/tomcat/webapps/manageMETA-INF/context.xml
For the Host Manager app, type:
sudo vi /opt/tomcat/webapps/host-manageMETA-INF/context.xml
Inside, comment out the IP address restriction to allow connections from anywhere. Alternatively, if you would like to allow access only to connections coming from your own IP address, you can add your public IP address to the list: context.xml files for Tomcat webapps
Save and close the files when you are finished. To put our changes into effect, restart the Tomcat service:
sudo systemctl restart tomcat
Access the Web Interface
Now that Tomcat is up and running, let’s access the web management interface in a web browser. You can do this by accessing the public IP address of the server, on port 8080:
Open in web browser:http://server_IP_address:8080
You will see something like the following image: 📷 As you can see, there are links to the admin webapps that we configured an admin user for. Let’s take a look at the Manager App, accessible via the link or http://server_IP_address:8080/managehtml : 📷 The Web Application Manager is used to manage your Java applications. You can Start, Stop, Reload, Deploy, and Undeploy here. You can also run some diagnostics on your apps (i.e. find memory leaks). Lastly, information about your server is available at the very bottom of this page. Now let’s take a look at the Host Manager, accessible via the link or http://server_IP_address:8080/host-managehtml/ : 📷 From the Virtual Host Manager page, you can add virtual hosts to serve your applications from.
Your installation of Tomcat is complete! Your are now free to deploy your own Java web applications!
10 years ago I made 7k trading stocks and opened an e-mini account and I started making money but I ended up using the money for other things and closed the account. I always thought it was easier to just follow the S&P than worrying about currencies. Just wondering if anyone else has tried it and what they think compared to forex. The thing that drew me to Forex was the low cost to start trading.
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